← Gralnia i Grand Archive - Radiant Origins Store Championship
Fire SuitedTier 1
at Gralnia i Grand Archive - Radiant Origins Store Championship
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.3%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1250
· median 1250
· range 1150–1350
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1096
Q1 1158
Q3 1354
1439
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.4% | -14.0 |
| Water Astra Diana | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Water Neos | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.1% | +10.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Wind Lorraine | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 36.8% | -12.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
